Tony M. Hong January 19, 2026
New Year, New Resolutions, New Market Phase
A new year brings new goals, new dreams, and new opportunities. It also brings a housing market that has quietly entered a new phase — one that directly affects your home’s value, your equity, and your future options.
After the fast-paced price growth of recent years, the market is now shifting into a slower, more balanced cycle. That’s not a bad thing. In fact, it’s a sign of normalization. But it does change how homeowners and aspiring buyers should think about their next move.
Let’s take a look at where home values may be headed, and what it means for you.
2026 National Home Price Outlook
A recent report from ResiClub Analytics reviewed 24 major housing market forecast models. The average projection for U.S. home prices in 2026 is approximately 1.4% growth.
In simple terms:
• The rapid pandemic-era price surges are behind us
• The market is stabilizing, not declining
• Home values are still expected to rise, but at a healthier, slower pace
Other leading forecasts echo the same theme: modest appreciation ahead, gradually improving inventory, buyers gaining slightly more negotiating room, and sellers continuing to benefit from long-term equity gains.
This is a market defined less by frenzy and more by strategy.
What This Means for Homeowners
When price growth slows, equity becomes the real wealth engine.
Even small annual appreciation, combined with steady mortgage pay-down, continues building net worth quietly in the background. Over time, that equity becomes a powerful financial tool — one that can open doors to:
• Upsizing or downsizing
• Investing in additional real estate
• Home renovations
• Retirement planning
• Financial flexibility when opportunities arise
In a slower-growth environment, understanding your equity position becomes more important than ever.
A Note for Aspiring Buyers
If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines, this new market cycle is quietly creating opportunity.
Inventory has improved compared to recent years. Buyer competition has cooled from peak frenzy levels. And mortgage rates, now hovering in the mid-5% range, have shown signs of stabilizing, with forecasts pointing toward gradual improvement ahead.
In practical terms, this means:
• More choices than we’ve seen in years
• Less bidding-war pressure
• Stronger negotiating leverage
• The ability to buy before the next growth cycle gains momentum
Perfect timing is impossible. But strategic timing is very real. Buyers who enter balanced markets often benefit most when the next appreciation cycle arrives.
The Key Question
What do you think your home is worth today?
Do you know how much equity you have, and what that equity could mean for your next move or your family’s future?
Clarity creates confidence. Whether you’re considering selling, buying, investing, or simply planning ahead, understanding your position in today’s market is the first step.
If you’d like a data-driven home value and equity snapshot, I’m happy to prepare one. No pressure, just insight.
Wishing you a strong start to the year ahead.
Stay up to date on the latest real estate trends.
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